Earnings Season is an Endurance Race

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This week, we’ve got…

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Earnings reports are swinging left and right this week. TKO Group in particular is throwing haymakers in the sports entertainment ring, locking down billion-dollar streaming deals for UFC and WWE. The stock’s up 26% this year with plenty of gas left in the tank.

Meanwhile, Swiss sneaker maker On Holding is sprinting ahead, with direct-to-consumer sales up 47% off the topspin of a Federer endorsement.

Even Paramount, fresh off its worst year ever, is showing signs of life: Paramount+ finally hit profitability, and the new UFC deal gives it a premium sports streaming edge.

But not every brand is flexing. Under Armour’s stock just faceplanted after forecasting a 7% revenue drop, and the “Buy America” push is flopping (people are prioritizing cheap). CoreWeave is down 13% even after posting earnings and revenue beats. And Cava dropped 20% on less-than-expected same-store sales growth.

Then there’s Kodak, the OG disruptor turned cautionary tale. The company just warned it may not survive the year, with debt looming and only $155 million in cash. Kodak just hasn’t kept up; they don’t have the meme culture of TKO or the influencer appeal of On Holding, and in this market, that means they’re on the ropes.

Core inflation just posted its biggest jump in six months, as the latest round of tariffs is starting to bite. Gold futures went on a rollercoaster as traders tried to decode whether bullion would get hit with new duties. So precious metals markets were on edge, and Costco’s gold bars were flying off the shelves… until the President popped that bubble.

Still, not everyone’s running scared. Young, “diamond-handed” investors are buying every dip, pushing record inflows into equities even as markets wobble. They’re not haunted by the dot-com bust or the financial crisis, just the perpetually online promise that “stocks only go up.” It’s a bold move, but with US households more exposed to equities than at any time since the 1950s, history says even the bravest can get caught off guard.

So, are you stacking gold bars or doubling down on stocks? Either way, it probably betrays your age.

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A lot can happen in a week!

Let’s take a quick look at who struck gold and who struck out since our last issue:

Apple, Inc. (AAPL): +13.02%
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN): +4.47%
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG): +4.25%
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): +1.43%
Meta Platforms, Inc. (META): +1.35%

TPI Composites, Inc. (TPIC): -79.88%
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD): -39.61%
Spirit Aviation Holdings, Inc. (FLYY): -41.71%
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): -0.34%
AbbVie Inc. (ABBV): -0.32%

Analysis provided by ​altindex.com​.

Remember to always DYOR.

Astera Labs delivers connectivity solutions for "rack-scale AI," according to the company’s own language. It's the plumbing of the AI world.

Astera Labs’ “buy” signal is supported by a long-term improvement in financial fundamentals, including revenue growth. Notable indicators included a month-over-month increase in job postings, high employee satisfaction, and a positive business outlook among employees as well. There were also spikes in sentiment across stock forums, Twitter followers, and YouTube subscribers, indicating growing interest.

Current price: $192.00
Target price: $213.64

SentinelOne is an AI-powered cybersecurity platform that uses behavioral AI to stop cyber threats in real time. It’s seen as a Crowdstrike competitor—and it's 5x cheaper than $CRWD in terms of price/sales.

The signals:

AltIndex’s AI model gave SentinelOne a “buy” signal because of positive financial indicators like increased year-over-year revenue growth. Additional factors were a month-over-month increase in job postings and employee satisfaction, along with a strong business outlook from employees. The stock also saw a surge in sentiment on popular stock forums, higher web traffic, and more Instagram followers.

Current price: $16.98
Target price: $18.55

That’s all for today. Write us and let us know your thoughts on the market, the newsletter, or the weather—we’d just love to hear from you.

Till next time,
— Brandon and Blake